Political Brief: All 2024, all the time

Dear Friends,

We are now 8 days out! Our coverage this week and next will focus entirely on the 2024 election. Let us know if there is specific coverage that you would like to see!

This is Wear We Are,

Michael & Melissa

What you should know this week:

• Here are the latest polls and the swing state polling averages (Real Clear):

  

  

• Polling is also showing a big gender gap. (Vox)

  

• On whether or not the Senate could flip, FiveThirtyEight now thinks that the GOP has a good chance. Concurrently, Democrats could flip the House; The Economist calls it a “coin flip.”

• Early voting continues. In Nevada, thus far, 31,000 more registered Republicans have voted than Democrats. (Politico)

  

• The Washington Post announced it will no longer endorse presidential candidates. WaPo journalists write about the swift backlash that ensued.

• Then here is the NYT Editorial Board over the weekend:

  His rallies offer a steady stream of such promises and threats — things like prosecuting political opponents and using the military against U.S. citizens. These statements are so outrageous and outlandish, so openly in conflict with the norms and values of American democracy that many find them hard to regard as anything but empty bluster. We have two words for American voters: Believe him.

• Several Muslim leaders joined Trump on stage at a rally outside of Detroit on Saturday, endorsing Trump and calling him the candidate of “peace.” (NYT) With Michigan being a crucial swing state, the Harris campaign is hoping they can make gains with suburban voters and former Republicans in the state to make up for losses among Muslim and Arab voters in Dearborn and Detroit. (NBC)

• POLITICO’s Adam Wren—with quotes from both Michael and friend of the Stack, John Shelton—writes about how Trump is seeking to build an unual coalition between “Barstool” conservatives and “Bible study” conservatives in the last few days of campaigning. “For years, white evangelicals have been one of Trump’s most reliable constituencies. But when he took the stage at his “Believers and Ballots” town hall in Zebulon, Georgia, he acknowledged the problem he could have this year.”

• The evolution of the immigration debate in the election has taken an interesting turn the last few days. “Republicans, including former President Donald Trump, are hammering Democrats over border policies they say have allowed fentanyl to surge into the country. Democrats, including Vice President Kamala Harris, respond that they, too, have cracked down on traffickers and want stricter border enforcement.” (Politico) On Friday, Trump touted mass deportation as a policy plan at a rally, and 60 Minutes has a breakdown of the plan.

• On CBS Sunday Morning, Harris said her first order of business would be to “put back in place the protections under Roe and ‘stop this pain’ stemming from state abortion bans.” (CBS) Speaking of abortion, Harris has heavily focused on the issue in the remaining days all while pointing out Trump’s fickleness on a nationwide abortion ban. (Axios) She’s also honing in on Trump’s age and ability to govern. (WaPo)